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2011 NCAA BASKETBALL PICKS

NCAA March Madness Picks

Updated 3/11/2011 - I will be making several picks for this upcoming NCAA basketball tournament and will be updating this page soon! The content below is a recap of the picks that I made last year in the 2010 tournament.

Here are a couple of great source that I found for the 2011 March Madness tournament:

BestSportsGambling.com - Find out news from the latest college and pro betting sites and major sports updates.

March Madness Promotions - Every year, a lot of the sportsbooks come out with bonuses and promotions in time for the NCAA College Basketball tournament. This is when the betting starts to heat up on certain games. Take a look at the current sportsbook promotions.

This is going to be a trend that I'm setting for each of the different categories that I've made. I'm going to pick two games out of the 16 being played in the first round.

The first is an upset alert that I had already given in my march madness tips. Right now, BetUS has Minnesota as a 1 point favorite as the 11 seed over 6th seeded Xavier. I was hoping that the line on this game would have been the other way around at least. I'm feeling more confident about this pick though because all my criteria for an upset is there. Minnesota played in the Big 10 conference tournament championship game; Xavier got knocked out of the A10 tournament in the second round. Minnesota was on the bubble after losing in overtime to Ohio State; Xavier was comfortably in. Minnesota has nothing to lose and will probably play that way tomorrow, so I am taking Minnesota (-1).

The second game I will pick is going to be Oakland University vs Pittsburgh. I already mentioned Oakland in my tips as well. They have not come close against the four ranked teams they have played this year. The good teams have been beating them by about an average of 30. They didn't even win games within their own conference (Summit) by more than 10 points and struggled to beat weak opponents. That's why I'm taking the 3 seed Pittsburgh (-10).

Other interesting games according to the lines: 4 seed Vanderbilt is only a 3 point favorite against 13 seed Murray State. I don't think the game will be that close, but maybe there's a good reason why the line is close on this game. *I guess the sportsbooks know what they are doing - Murray State upset at the buzzer*

As expected, most of the 5-12 matchups are very tight with the exception of Michigan State and New Mexico State which has MSU favored by 13 1/2. Siena and Purdue is also another upset alert according to the lines makers. Purdue is only favored by 4 and Siena has won in the first round the last two years.

NCAA Basketball Championship Week - March 12, 2010

Current automatic bids won from teams winning their conference tournament:

  1. Atlantic Sun Conference - East Tennessee State Buccaneers - 20-14 overall (13-7 conf)
  2. Big Sky Conference - Montana Grizzlies - 22-9 overall (10-6 conf)
  3. Big South Conference - Winthrop Eagles - 19-13 overall (12-6 conf)
  4. Colonial Conference - Old Dominion Monarchs - 26-8 overall (15-3 conf)
  5. Horizon Conference - Butler Bulldogs - 28-4 overall (18-0 conf)
  6. Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference - Siena Saints - 27-6 overall (17-1 conf)
  7. Missouri Valley Conference - Northern Iowa Panthers - 28-4 overall (15-3 conf)
  8. Northeast Conference - Robert Morris Colonials - 23-11 overall (15-3 conf)
  9. Ohio Valley Conference - Murray State Racers - 30-4 overall (17-1 conf)
  10. Southern Conference - Wofford Terriers - 26-8 overall (15-3 conf)
  11. Summit Conference - Oakland Golden Grizzlies - 26-8 overall (17-1 conf)
  12. Sun Belt Conference - North Texas Mean Green - 24-8 overall (13-5 conf)
  13. West Coast Conference - Saint Mary's Gaels - 26-5 overall (11-3 conf)

Update - A couple of Big East Tournament upsets have taken place. 8 seed Georgetown upended 1 seed Syracuse and 7 seed Notre Dame sneaks by 2 seed Pittsburgh. Three of the top 4 seeds have already been knocked out of the tournament.

Conference USA also saw three of the top 4 seeds go down as 1 seed UTEP is in position to take the tournament championship.

Also a couple of ACC upsets to note as well. 12 seed Miami had already defeated 5 seed Wake Forest when they followed that up with another upset of 4 seed Virginia Tech. 11 seed NC State won a squeaker against Clemson and are poised to play 3 seed Florida State tonight.

In the Big Ten Tournament, top seed Ohio State received a big scare from 8 seed Michigan and has to hit a shot at the buzzer to win a one point game.

In the West Coast Conference title game, Saint Mary's ran over their rivals and favored14th ranked Gonzaga Bulldogs by almost 20 points.